About

Independent, data-driven price research on premium alfalfa in Southeast Colorado's lower Arkansas Valley (Las Animas / Lamar). New reports monthly, more often when the market is moving.

Rules:

1. Predictions are written down first — price bands, dates, and confidence levels are committed to a dated git record before the data comes out.
2. Reports are frozen at publication. Corrections go in the retro; the original stays as published. The one exception: private business details are removed from every page. Predictions, prices and grades are never changed.
3. Pre-registered predictions are graded in public retros as the data lands: what was right, what was wrong, what changed because of it.
4. Sources are named: USDA NASS and AMS, Colorado DWR, NRCS SNOTEL, ditch-company records, and surveyed cash markets.

The site is plain HTML so it loads fast on weak signal and prints clean.

Disclaimer: research and opinion, not financial or agronomic advice, and not an offer to buy or sell hay.